Allied Surveyors welcomes interest rate cut
The Bank of England has given the hung over UK economy the Alka Seltzers it needed, and has exceeded best expectations with this bold move to lance the wound of Britain’s faltering economy, says Allied Surveyors.
They go on to say that this decisive action will have the following effect:
· House prices will stop sliding and by Q2 2009 prices generally will have stabilised at 20% less than the 2007 Q2 peak but provincial City Centre flats will be 35% off peak.
· 1 million more homes which would have been shown to be in negative equity during Q1 2009 will now be reprieved
· Repossessions will soon peak: abject misery to hundreds of thousands has been averted
· LIBOR will remain heavily weighted over Bank Base for another 6 months but we’ve seen the worst.
· The horrors of deflation have been avoided
The downside is
· The £ will plummet against the euro and the dollar (sub $1.50 and little better than Euro parity)
· Although inflation will fall to 3% in Q1 2009 it will increase to 6% by Q4.
· Because of inflationary pressures, this will be most damaging to retirees on fixed incomes but it will mean the next generation may be able to afford to retire.
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